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Anton Bayer, CFP®, Founder, Chairman, CIO at Up Capital Management

Anton Bayer, CFP®

Founder, Chairman, CIO

Anton Bayer founded Up Capital Management and serves as Founder & CIO. He brings four decades of experience across every major market environment, and he authors the firm's Weekly UPdate, the original market analysis that guides how portfolios are positioned.

In 2026, as part of the firm's multigenerational succession, Anton transitioned from Chief Executive Officer to Founder & CIO, continuing to lead the firm's investment strategy while Nyle Bayer took over as CEO.

Writing by Anton

Articles by Anton

Recent writing

All published articles by Anton Bayer, newest first.

Latest article

Markets and Economy

Homes for the Homeless

Late Friday afternoon on November 29, 2024, 61 of us traveled from San Antonio to Reynosa, Mexico to volunteer for Strategic Alliance to build three houses for three related families all living in small shacks.

8 min read
Markets and Economy

The Sputtering Housing Market

The housing market came to an abrupt halt for the second time this century. The first shock to housing was following the 2008 Great Recession when existing home sales plummeted from a record 7.25 million annual sales in

7 min read
Markets and Economy

Trump 2.0 - What Can We Expect?

As long-time readers know, to determine potential future events I refer extensively to similar historical periods for insights and guidance of what the future may hold. The saying is very true “That if you don’t know whe

8 min read
Markets and Economy

Consumers Getting Upbeat...maybe

According to this month’s University of Michigan’s Survey of Consumers report, Consumers for the fourth consecutive month have improved their view of their finances and the economy. It’s been a rough road for consumers t

6 min read
Markets and Economy

Consumer Spending Building Momentum

September retail sales increased 0.4% from August and is the third consecutive month over month (MoM) it has increased. The 0.4% is substantially higher than August’s 0.1% monthly increase. Even though retail sales have

6 min read
Financial Planning

Client and Friend Events

Prior to the outbreak of the coronavirus in 2020, we used to host multiple client and friend dinner events each year. We would have these events typically at excellent local restaurants in the South Bay and East Sacramen

6 min read
Markets and Economy

Stock Market Deja Vu!

We have warned at the end of the strong first half of 2024 that a summer selloff is not unusual. Not only are selloffs and market corrections typical, but they are also necessary to extend a positive growth trend of stoc

4 min read
Markets and Economy

More Jobs Less Supplies

Today we have received a trove of economic reports that indicate that companies are still hiring and growing while it appears the economy is in a mild slow-down cycle. This seems contradictory and begs the question:

8 min read
Markets and Economy

Is Housing Reaching a Bottom?

The very low volume of existing home sales reported last week by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) would indicate the continued impact of current decades' high mortgage interest rates. The NAR reported only 3.86

4 min read
Markets and Economy

Small Business Owners Still See Headwinds

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) released its Small Business Optimism US Index today indicating it has decreased to 91.2 in August. This breaks the improving trend since dropping to a multi-year low

6 min read
Markets and Economy

Summer Stock Market Selloff Continues

After a long Labor Day weekend, investors started the first trading day of September by selling. The reason floated out by the main media for today’s selloff is investors skittish about the S&P Global US Manufacturing Pu

5 min read
Markets and Economy

Summer Pause and Rebound

As we forecast in June, the US stock market to enter a period of weakness with stock prices declining during the summer after the major indices had a solid rally in the first half of 2024. The reasons for summer weakness

5 min read
Markets and Economy

Consumers’ Pandemic Hangover

The 2020 pandemic prompted panicked policymakers to implement extreme restrictions on societies around the world. These regulations resulted in plummeting consumer sentiment about the economy that reverberated with histo

5 min read
Markets and Economy

Summer Market Correction

A summer market correction is well underway after a strong first half of 2024 for the stock market. Over time the S&P 500 on average increases about 70% of the time with the remaining periods with down cycles referenced

5 min read
Markets and Economy

How Can Companies Be More Productive?

The holy grail for companies is achieving maximum productivity growth at the most profitable revenue ratio. For publicly traded companies, investors wait to hear each quarter the changes in the company’s top-line revenue

5 min read
Markets and Economy

When to Sell

Since the stock market bottomed on October 14, 2022, the major indices have rallied significantly. During these past 20 months, the tech-based NASDAQ index has soared 78.3% followed by a large-cap S&P 500 index up 55.53%

5 min read
Markets and Economy

Nvidia Rally Continues

We added Nvidia (NVDA) to our Growth & Income and Growth model portfolios early last year. Since then, the stock price has soared. This year institutional investors continued to add NVDA to their portfolios on bullish fo

4 min read
Markets and Economy

Winners and Losers in May Retail Sales

The US Census Bureau released last week the advance projection May report of the Index of Economic Activity (IDEA) that includes information how consumers changed their spending last month. The advance report is released

6 min read
Markets and Economy

Consumers Are Changing Where They Spend

In 2013 we added Home Depot (HD) to our portfolios as builders were re-engaging their development projects following the 2008 Great Recession. Homeowners were also increasing their spending on their homes either preparin

7 min read

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