Insights

Notes on markets, money, and the long view. The Weekly Update from Anton, plus press, and the occasional essay.

Weekly Update

Small Business Owners Still in Recovery Mode

I trust you had a pleasant Easter weekend having time with family or friends. This weekend we had our three adult children, their spouses, and their 10 children all together for the first time in ten years. The last time

Anton BayerApril 12, 20236 min read

Weekly Update

Slowing and Growing

The economic reports of the past several days indicate a slowing economy that continues to grow, albeit at a slower pace. The Federal Reserve's quick response early last year with their rate hike campaign appears to have

Anton BayerApril 5, 20235 min read

Weekly Update

Business Inventories Running Low

One indicator to watch to assess the economy's health is by monitoring inventories. Business owners and sales and purchasing managers are watching their business and customer activities to forecast how much inventory the

Anton BayerMarch 29, 20234 min read

Weekly Update

Consumers Emotion Out of Sync to their Spending

Last week the University of Michigan released its Consumer Sentiment Index for March, which dropped for the first time in four months. This report comes before any recent news about the banking industry, and I would expe

Anton BayerMarch 23, 20237 min read

Weekly Update

Lessons from the Silicon Valley Bank Collapse

It was an extraordinary experience for the years we lived in Cupertino, AKA Silicon Valley. During the late 1990s, neighbors were becoming millionaires and some billionaires overnight when their companies had an Initial

Anton BayerMarch 15, 20239 min read

Weekly Update

Factory Orders are Rising

On Monday, the Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce. Released its monthly U.S. Factory Orders report. New orders for U.S. manufactured goods fell 1.6% month-over-month (MoM) in January after a 1.7% rise in D

Anton BayerMarch 8, 20236 min read

Weekly Update

Melting Recession Worries

Last week the US Bureau of Economic Analysis released its Q4 2022 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report. The economy, after two-quarters of contraction in Q1 and Q2 2022, recovered with economic growth in the remaining two

Anton BayerFebruary 28, 20235 min read

Weekly Update

Economic Landing Zone

The economy roared back from the 2020 coronavirus shutdown at a pace that surprised all, including the Federal Reserve. To slow the hyperinflation caused by trillions of stimulus money chasing too few goods, the Federal

Anton BayerFebruary 15, 20236 min read

Weekly Update

After the Storm

Last week the Midwest endured a weeklong ice storm. Since moving to San Antonio in 2021, we have experienced once in 100-year weather phenomenon every year. Leading into Valentine’s weekend 2021 and a month since moving

Anton BayerFebruary 8, 20236 min read

Weekly Update

Benefits at the Bottom

There are many benefits of being at the bottom of a market cycle vs. at the top. At the top, when economic and stock market conditions are so favorable that it starts to get scary. One cannot stop wondering when these go

Anton BayerFebruary 1, 20236 min read

The Weekly Update

Get the Weekly Update in your inbox

Anton’s note on the week, plus new essays. No noise, sent when there is something worth saying.

No spam, unsubscribe anytime.